Journal of Islamic Science, Culture & Social Studies
Social Studies

Spatial Analysis of Predisposition to Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) Incidence in Timor Tengah Utara Regency in 2020-2022

Antonia Benedikta Elisabeth1✉ , Pius Weraman 2 , Yendris K Syamruth 3
123 University of Nusa Cendana
Download
PDF
Published
28-02-2025
Pages
84-98

Abstract

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is a potentially fatal infectious disease caused by the dengue virus, which is transmitted through the bites of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes. In 2022, the Timor Tengah Utara Regency recorded 44 cases of DHF, with the highest incidence (31 cases) concentrated in the Sasi Public Health Center.Historical data revealed 56 cases in 2021, including one fatality, and 124 cases in 2020, with two deaths. This study aimed to analyze the influence of age, occupation, mobility, residence, income, and education on DHF incidence and examine the spatial distribution of DHF cases in the region using GeoDa software. Employing a descriptive-exploratory design, this study analyzed data from 224 patients with DHF. Bivariate LISA analysis revealed significant spatial autocorrelation for mobility (p = 0.0000), income (p = 0.0061), residence (p = 0.0003), and education (p = 0.0000), whereas age (p = 0.2774) and occupation (p = 0.9260) showed no significant relationships. Further testing with the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) model (p = 0.0000) confirmed spatial dependence, and the Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR) was identified as the best model because of its highest R² (0.974420) and lowest AIC (329.606). These findings underscore the importance of considering spatial factors in DHF management and provide a foundation for targeted interventions, such as improving community awareness and resource allocation in high-risk areas. The results demonstrate the potential of spatial analysis tools to enhance public health strategies for infectious disease control.

Keywords: Dengue Epidemiology Geospatial analysis Public health Risk factors Timor Tengah Utara

References

  1. Andriani, R., Haeruddin K, Azfari Azis, Eky Endriana A, & La Ode Syaiful Islamy H. (2023). Studi Kualitatif Perilaku Pencegahan Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD) pada Rumah Tangga di Wilayah Kerja Puskesmas Melai: Qualitative Study of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) Prevention in Households in the Working Area of the Melai Community Health Center. Media Publikasi Promosi Kesehatan Indonesia (MPPKI), 6(8), 1661–1667. https://doi.org/10.56338/mppki.v6i8.3826
  2. Aliman, M. (2020). Pengembangan instrumen tes kemampuan berpikir spasial bagi siswa SMA. Geodika Jurnal Kajian Ilmu Dan Pendidikan Geografi, 4(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.29408/geodika.v4i1.1823
  3. Cromley, E. K., & McLafferty, S. L. (2011). GIS and public health. Guilford Press.
  4. Dawe, M. A. L., Romeo, P., & Ndoen, E. (2020). Pengetahuan dan Sikap Masyarakat serta Peran Petugas Kesehatan Terkait Pencegahan Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD). Journal of Health and Behavioral Science, 2(2), 138–147. https://doi.org/10.35508/jhbs.v2i2.2283
  5. Fatati, I. F., Wijayanto, H., & Sholeh, A. M. (2017). ANALISIS REGRESI SPASIAL DAN POLA PENYEBARAN PADA KASUS DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE (DBD) DI PROVINSI JAWA TENGAH. MEDIA STATISTIKA, 10(2), 95. https://doi.org/10.14710/medstat.10.2.95-105
  6. Green, L., & Kreuter, M. (2005). Health Program planning: an educational and ecological approach. McGraw-Hill Humanities/Social Sciences/Languages.
  7. George, L., Lenhart, A., Toledo, J., Lazaro, A., Han, W. W., Velayudhan, R., Runge Ranzinger, S., & Horstick, O. (2015). Community-Effectiveness of Temephos for Dengue Vector Control: A Systematic Literature Review. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 9(9), e0004006. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0004006
  8. Ilham, W., & Setiawan, D. K. (2020). PENERAPAN SISTEM INFORMASI GEOGRAFIS LOKASI PEMBAYARAN LISTRIK, AIR DAN TELEPON BERBASIS ANDROID. Jursima, 8(1), 26. https://doi.org/10.47024/js.v8i1.188
  9. Jayanti, N. M. S., Sumarjaya, I. W., & Susilawati, M. (2017). PEMODELAN PENYEBARAN KASUS DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE (DBD) DI KOTA DENPASAR DENGAN METODE SPATIAL AUTOREGRESSIVE (SAR). E-Jurnal Matematika, 6(1), 37. https://doi.org/10.24843/MTK.2017.v06.i01.p146
  10. Kemenkes. (2020, July 9). Hingga Juli, Kasus DBD di Indonesia Capai 71 Ribu. Sehat Negeriku. https://sehatnegeriku.kemkes.go.id/baca/umum/20200709/3134413/hingga-juli-kasus-dbd-indonesia-capai-71-ribu/
  11. Kulsum, U., Sutrisno, S., Purwanto, E., & Norma, N. (2023). FAKTOR RESIKO DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE (DBD) DENGAN KEJADIAN DBD DI WILAYAH KERJA PUSKESMAS BUNYU KABUPATEN BULUNGAN. SAINTEKES: Jurnal Sains, Teknologi Dan Kesehatan, 2(3), 456–469. https://doi.org/10.55681/saintekes.v2i3.135
  12. Kusumawati, N., & Sukendra, D. M. (2020). Spasiotemporal Demam Berdarah Dengue berdasarkan House Index, Kepadatan Penduduk dan Kepadatan Rumah. HIGEIA (Journal of Public Health Research and Development), 4(2), Article 2. https://doi.org/10.15294/higeia.v4i2.32507
  13. M. Guli, M., Nita, Yuniati, E., Ardiputra, Muh. A., & Toemon, A. I. (2024). Pengaruh faktor sosial ekonomi dan lingkungan terhadap prevalensi demam berdarah dengue di wilayah kerja Puskesmas Sangurara, Bulili dan Birobuli Kota Palu. Jurnal Kedokteran Universitas Palangka Raya, 12(2). https://doi.org/10.37304/jkupr.v12i2.13102
  14. Murwanto, B., Trigunarso, S. I., & Purwono, P. (2019). Faktor Lingkungan Sosial, Lingkungan Fisik, dan Pengendalian Program DBD terhadap Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD). Jurnal Kesehatan, 10(3), Article 3. https://doi.org/10.26630/jk.v10i3.1424
  15. Notoatmodjo, S. (2003). Pendidikan dan perilaku kesehatan.
  16. Nur Aisyah, Nurul Ulfah Mutthalib, & A. Rizki Amelia. (2021). Studi Epidemiologi dengan Pendekatan Analisis Spasial Terhadap Kejadian ISPA pada Anak Balita di Wilayah Kerja Puskesmas Antang Perumnas. Window of Public Health Journal, 2(2), 230–240. https://doi.org/10.33096/woph.v2i2.143
  17. Rahma, F. A., Rahayu, D. F. S., Prawira, L. Y., Nandini, M., & Bariyah, R. A. (2023). Faktor Risiko Aspek Lingkungan dan Aspek Perilaku terhadap Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD) di Wilayah Kerja Puskesmas Sukmajaya Kota Depok Tahun 2022. Journal of Public Health Education, 2(3), 333–343. https://doi.org/10.53801/jphe.v2i3.123
  18. Rau, Muh. J., & Nurhayati, S. (2021). Faktor yang Berhubungan dengan Keberadaan Jentik Nyamuk Aedes Aegepty di Wilayah Kerja Puskesmas Sangurara (Cross Sectional Study di Sulawesi Tengah, Kota Palu). Media Publikasi Promosi Kesehatan Indonesia (MPPKI), 4(2), 215–225. https://doi.org/10.56338/mppki.v4i2.1498
  19. Rohman, H., Hartono, H., & Probandari, A. N. (2020). Penggunaan sistem informasi geografis untuk pola spasial tuberkulosis dengan dan tanpa diabetes mellitus di kulon progo. Journal of Information Systems for Public Health, 2(1), 1. https://doi.org/10.22146/jisph.7922
  20. Sulistyawati, S., Dwi Astuti, F., Rahmah Umniyati, S., Tunggul Satoto, T. B., Lazuardi, L., Nilsson, M., Rocklov, J., Andersson, C., & Holmner, Å. (2019). Dengue Vector Control through Community Empowerment: Lessons Learned from a Community-Based Study in Yogyakarta, Indonesia. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16(6), 1013. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16061013
  21. Tarigan, W. S. (2021). Analisis Regresi Spasial pada Indeks Pembangunan Manusia di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Tahun 2020. Seminar Nasional Official Statistics, 2021(1), 403–408. https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.896
  22. Timmreck, T. C. (2002). An introduction to epidemiology. Jones & Bartlett Learning.
  23. Vong, S., Khieu, V., Glass, O., Ly, S., Duong, V., Huy, R., Ngan, C., Wichmann, O., Letson, G. W., Margolis, H. S., & Buchy, P. (2010). Dengue Incidence in Urban and Rural Cambodia: Results from Population-Based Active Fever Surveillance, 2006–2008. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 4(11), e903. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0000903
  24. WHO. (2025). Dengue and severe dengue. https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/dengue-and-severe-dengue
  25. Widyatama, E. F. (2017). Faktor yang Berpengaruh Terhadap Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue Daerah Endemis di Wilayah Kerja Puskesmas Pare Kecamatan Pare Kabupaten Kediri.
  26. Wijirahayu, S., & Sukesi, T. W. (2019). Hubungan Kondisi Lingkungan Fisik dengan Kejadian Demam Berdarah Dengue di Wilayah Kerja Puskesmas Kalasan Kabupaten Sleman. JURNAL KESEHATAN LINGKUNGAN INDONESIA, 18(1), 19. https://doi.org/10.14710/jkli.18.1.19-24
  27. Zulheri, E. I., Asdi, Y., & Yozza, H. (2019). MODEL REGRESI SPASIAL LAG PADA KASUS PENYAKIT DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE (DBD) DI SUMATRA UTARA TAHUN 2016. Jurnal Matematika UNAND, 8(2), 59. https://doi.org/10.25077/jmu.8.2.59-66.2019

License

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2025 Antonia Benedikta Elisabeth, Pius Weraman , Yendris K Syamruth

Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:

  • Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
  • Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
  • Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).

Indexing & Citations

How to Cite

Elisabeth, A. B., Weraman , P. ., & Syamruth , Y. K. . (2025). Spatial Analysis of Predisposition to Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) Incidence in Timor Tengah Utara Regency in 2020-2022. Ascarya: Journal of Islamic Science, Culture, and Social Studies, 5(1), 84-98. https://doi.org/10.53754/iscs.v5i1.732
Crossref
Scopus
Google Scholar
Europe PMC

Similar Articles

61-70 of 86

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.